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Research • July 03, 2026 • 15 mins

Weekly Top Stories - 07/03/26

Strategy's new strategy; Robinhood launches chain; debunking fake CLARITY news

Welcome to Galaxy Research's Weekly Top Stories. Subscribe to get this newsletter delivered to your inbox every Friday morning.

In this week's edition, Alex Thorn looks at Stragtegy’s restructuring in light of broader bear-market conditions; Lucas Tcheyan shares takeaways from Robinhood’s big blockchain reveal; and Marc Hochstein deboonks fake news about JPMorgan and the CLARITY Act.

Got feedback on this newsletter? Email [email protected]. We’d love to hear from you.

Market Update

Market update 2026-07-03 08.19.38

The total crypto market cap stands at $2.22tn, up 3.57% from last week (when it stood at $2.15tn). Bitcoin's network value is 4.42% of gold's market cap. Over the last seven days, BTC is up 3.39%, ETH is up 11.30%, and SOL is up 15.70%. Bitcoin dominance is 55.87%, down 100 basis points from last week. (Data: Messari, Galaxy Research)

Strategy Unveils New 'Active Management' Strategy

Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) announced a major capital management overhaul Monday after its preferred-stock “digital credit” complex came under substantial stress over the last several weeks.

STRC, the company’s flagship “Stretch” preferred, was designed to trade around its $100 stated amount, but fell sharply below par as bitcoin sold off over the last two months; Strategy’s USD reserve shrank; and investors began questioning how the company would fund a growing preferred-dividend bill. STRC traded below $83 on June 18 and later hit a record low of $71.25 on June 26, while Strategy’s common stock and BTC both came under pressure.

The debate quickly narrowed to three uncomfortable choices: sell bitcoin, dilute MSTR holders by selling more common stock, or stop paying/cut preferred dividends. Arca CIO Jeff Dorman was among the most visible critics, arguing that Strategy’s capital structure left MSTR holders, BTC holders, and preferred holders competing for the same balance sheet value; Cointelegraph summarized his view as leaving Strategy with stark outcomes: “sell BTC to pay the prefs” or “stop paying the dividend.” Benzinga similarly summarized Dorman’s menu of bad choices: selling BTC pressures bitcoin sentiment, selling stock dilutes MSTR, issuing debt hurts credit, and cutting preferred dividends could crush the preferreds and create legal risk. CryptoQuant also warned that Strategy’s dividend coverage had fallen sharply and urged the company to pause BTC purchases and rebuild cash reserves.

On Monday, Strategy answered with a major capital-management overhaul. The company adopted a new Digital Credit Capital Framework, built around five tools: a board-approved USD reserve policy; a revised STRC dividend policy; a $1 billion repurchase authorization for its preferred securities; a $1 billion MSTR common-stock repurchase authorization; and a BTC monetization program. The board also raised STRC’s annual dividend rate from 11.5% to 12%, effective for semi-monthly periods with record dates on or after July 1.

The market liked the response. On Monday, MSTR rose 12.6% to roughly $92.70 and STRC climbed 12.2% to around $83.70. As of Thursday afternoon, at the time of writing, STRC was trading near $87, still well below par but meaningfully off the lows, while MSTR was around $100 and BTC had recovered modestly to about $61,763.

Our Take

This was a smart move by Strategy, but it may not resolve structural issues forever. Strategy still has a large preferred stack, and it still has large recurring obligations. And those obligations are set to increase in 2027 and 2028 when the company's $6.7bn in outstanding converts are due. Strategy's “engine” still depends on BTC, MSTR, and its preferreds remaining financeable. And yes, in a sense, Strategy’s move Monday simply kicks the can down the road. But Strategy kicked the can pretty far.

The core market concern was not that Strategy lacked sufficient assets. Strategy has an enormous amount of bitcoin, about 847k BTC, making the company the world’s second largest holder behind Satoshi Nakamoto, who is theorized to possess ~1.1m BTC. The market’s concern was that Strategy did not have enough dollar liquidity to comfortably service the preferreds without doing something that would harm one of its stakeholder groups. If Strategy sells BTC, bitcoin holders may view that as a betrayal of Saylor's “never sell your bitcoin” ethos. If Strategy sells MSTR, common shareholders would be diluted and not for the purpose of acquiring more BTC. If it raised the STRC dividend again and again to induce the price back toward $100 par, it would increase the cost of preferred stock. If it failed to pay the preferred dividends (which it can halt at its discretion), confidence in the entire digital-credit structure would collapse.

By raising more than $1 billion of cash through common-stock sales, formalizing a 12-month minimum cash reserve policy, and bringing current cash coverage to ~17 months, Strategy successfully changed the conversation. The market had been worried about a near-term funding squeeze and Strategy bought itself a nice slug of time. The most important part of the announcement, though, isn’t any one action but the board’s authorization of a range of tools that now give Strategy real optionality. This is what Strategy CEO Phong Le meant when he said “Strategy is evolving from one-way capital issuance to active capital management.” Strategy is telling the market it can manage both sides of its balance sheet, and it won’t just blindly stack BTC regardless of market conditions.

The most controversial part of the announcement is the “BTC monetization” program. The language seems to explicitly say that Strategy may sell BTC from time to time, but the company has historically tended to act immediately after announcing, so it’s entirely possible Strategy was in the market selling BTC this week. We do not like to see Strategy sell bitcoin. The company’s identity, and much of MSTR’s premium over the years, has been built on the premise that it is a levered, permanent, institutionally accessible vehicle for long-term BTC exposure, and selling BTC erodes that story. And BTC sales can have a reflexive and negative market problem: the more investors believe Strategy might sell BTC, the more BTC weakness can feed back into MSTR and STRC weakness, which then raises the perceived probability of more BTC sales. But we do understand why the board wanted the release valve. A company with 847,363 BTC should not let a temporary cash-flow concern become an existential narrative crisis, and some market participants had been growing increasingly hysterical in their criticism and fears. If selling a small portion of the stack prevents a disorderly capital-structure spiral, protects the preferreds, and allows Strategy to wait for better market conditions, it’s a defensible path.

That said, there is a fourth option that has received too little attention: Strategy should explore generating income from the BTC stack without necessarily selling spot BTC. That could mean lending a small, segregated portion of its bitcoin under conservative terms, or it could mean options strategies that harvest volatility while preserving most of the upside. These could be structured trades that monetize part of the stack while limiting counterparty, custody, and duration risk.

These ideas wouldn’t be risk-free either (lending introduces counterparty risk, options can cap upside) and overdoing either could damage the very thing MSTR holders want: convex exposure to bitcoin. But Strategy doesn’t need to monetize the whole stack and even a modest, tightly risk-managed program could create recurring dollar income and reduce the need to choose between BTC spot sales and common-stock dilution. This is an intriguing middle ground that should be part of the conversation.

All of this said, we do believe Strategy has made a wise decision to increase its optionality. Bitcoin market conditions are pretty anemic, and we may not yet have seen the bottom. Sometimes the best trade is no trade at all, and Strategy’s moves here should give the company the space to bide its time and wait for better market conditions. -Alex Thorn

Robinhood Flattens the World with Crypto Rails

On Wednesday, Robinhood announced a large expansion of its global crypto offerings during the trading platform’s "World Is Flat" keynote at the Old Royal Naval College in London. Major highlights from the announcement included:

  • Public mainnet for Robinhood Chain, built using Arbitrum's tech stack as a layer-2 on Ethereum and natively integrated with the Robinhood Wallet.

  • Stock tokens trading 24/7 directly on Robinhood Chain, plus perpetual futures through Lighter in the Robinhood Wallet.

  • Robinhood Earn, which lets users lend Paxos’ USDG stablecoin for an estimated 7% APY, powered by Morpho.

The presentation also featured the expansion of Robinhood's agentic trading to crypto (including a Guinness World Record for the most items purchased by an AI agent in three minutes using a single credit card) and its expansion into new markets, going live in Canada with the U.K. planned.

The announcements had been teased during Robinhood's Q1 earnings call, when CEO Vlad Tenev told investors tokenization would take a "starring role" at a July event, as the industry entered what he called a tokenization supercycle. In line with a broader downturn in crypto markets through the first half of the year, Robinhood's crypto revenue fell 47% year-over-year, and May monthly data showed the app's crypto volume still down 50%.

Our Take

While the keynote was awkward (watch the first few minutes for a laugh), the substance was a massive win for crypto adoption globally, and the culmination of a run of significant crypto-to-TradFi integrations announced in recent months. Crypto has definitively moved past the partnership announcement issued for its own sake. Two days before the event, Ethena's USDe landed inside Aladdin, BlackRock's $25 trillion AUM risk-management platform, and BlackRock's tokenized BUIDL fund became the primary reserve for Ethena's white-label stablecoin. Morpho powers Coinbase’s crypto-backed loans and lending products, which have originated more than $2.17 billion in loans since launching. And those integrations are deepening into ownership. In February, BlackRock listed BUIDL for trading on Uniswap and bought UNI governance tokens, and days later Apollo signed a cooperation agreement with Morpho to build onchain lending markets, alongside a framework to acquire up to 9% of its governance token over four years.

The headline is the mainnet launch of Robinhood Chain, a permissionless L2 (though run by a single sequencer) that settles to Ethereum. It puts some of crypto's most successful products in front of Robinhood's 28 million customers, whether that's DeFi yield through Morpho or perpetual futures through Lighter. Before long, these should work in tandem, with users able to borrow against their tokenized stocks and post them as collateral for perpetuals. That makes Robinhood a full-stack competitor to Coinbase across brokerage, chain, wallet, stablecoin, and tokenized assets.

The biggest question about tokenized equity securities, as we wrote about two weeks ago as well, is what format they will be. Galaxy allowed for shareholders to tokenize their GLXY shares in an issuer-sponsored model, whereas market leaders Ondo and xStocks utilize a third-party issuer model (these are the Securities and Exchange Commission’s terminology). Robinhood describes its "stock tokens" as “tokenized debt securities” that “provide economic exposure to underlying securities but do not grant investors any legal or beneficial rights in, or against the issuer of, those underlying securities.” This puts them definitively in the third-party issuer model. In announcing their own tokenized securities plan two weeks ago, Coinbase offered little detail about how its tokenized equities will be formatted, though it too is likely to be some variation of third-party issued. The format matters enormously, not just for tokenholders, but also for regulatory reasons, particularly in the U.S. The SEC’s anticipated “innovation exemption” is likely to provide temporary relief to certain types of tokenized equities, but not all types.

Despite the absurdity of the event (right down to Tenev’s Sgt. Pepper uniform), its title, "The World is Flat," could not have better framed why the convergence between crypto and the broader financial world is accelerating. Two forces are driving it. Bottom-up, blockchain has produced products with genuine demand at both the retail and institutional level: perpetuals, prediction markets, stablecoins, and onchain lending. Top-down, incumbents have concluded the rails are better infrastructure for a world where anyone, anywhere wants to trade everything, all the time, with fewer intermediaries and native composability, and the regulatory environment is finally opening the door for them to do it. Robinhood isn’t the first company to rebuild its stack on crypto rails, and it won’t be the last. - Lucas Tcheyan

No, JPMorgan Did Not Back the CLARITY ACT

An astonishing headline, complete with breathless ALL CAPS kicker, made the rounds on X Monday afternoon: “JUST IN: JPMorgan backs crypto Clarity Act.”

To supporters of the market structure legislation, this "news,” reported by AltcoinDaily (an account with 2.3 million followers, more than twice as many as Andrew Ross Sorkin), sounded too good to be true. Turns out, it was.

The only evidence in the tweet was a screenshot of a blog post published that day by two JPMorgan executives. (AltcoinDaily did not link to JPMorgan’s post in its tweet, nor in a reply.) Nothing in the screenshot supported the headline claim. Nothing in JPMorgan’s blog post did, either.

JPM screenshot
Notice the paragraph under the highlighted one.

Umar Farooq, Global Co-Head of J.P. Morgan Payments, and Peter Muriungi, CEO of Digital Assets and Blockchain Solutions at the megabank, didn’t even mention the CLARITY Act, or the words "legislation,” “bill” or “Congress,” in their post, much less offer an endorsement.

They did, however, allude to an issue that’s been a sticking point for bankers – including JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon – in the negotiations over CLARITY: stablecoin yield.

“[P]ayments innovation becomes dangerous when it drifts into shadow banking—offering yield-like incentives or balance-holding arrangements without the capital, liquidity, consumer protection, and supervision standards that accompany traditional deposit products,” Farooq and Muriungi wrote.

Even their support for the concept of regulatory clarity was highly qualified. “[R]egulatory clarity matters only if paired with durable safeguards,” Farooq and Muriungi wrote. “Clarity with gaps or loopholes can push activity into lightly supervised channels and weaken long-standing protections.”

They later added: “If policy prioritizes speed over substance—if it codifies clarity while leaving fundamental risks unresolved—it will invite instability, not leadership.”

Nevertheless, as of Wednesday afternoon, AltcoinDaily’s misleading tweet had garnered 191.5k views, 547 retweets, 3,000 likes, and 176 replies. As of this writing, the tweet is still up, and the account has not issued any clarification or correction.

Our Take

There are two interesting discussions here. One is about JPMorgan’s actual policy position, the other about the media environment that allows this kind of misinformation to spread.

JPMorgan’s admonition against “speed over substance” is an example of a trend that Alex Thorn, Galaxy’s head of firmwide research, noted in our newsletter in March. As part of a “great convergence” between TradFi and crypto, he wrote, incumbents are simultaneously adopting the technology while “obstructing progress in Washington” toward clarifying the rule of the road. Far from throwing its weight behind the CLARITY Act, JPMorgan is more likely trying to throw sand in the gears of regulatory modernization.

For example, Farooq and Muriungi wrote: “If something looks and behaves like a security, investors rightly expect that disclosure, custody, and market integrity rules apply.” To us, this reads as a subtle broadside against the Securities and Exchange Commission’s pending “innovation exemption” for tokenized securities.

Zooming out, this farcical episode illustrates a bigger problem that has plagued crypto for years and no legislation can fix. There is just so much noise out there, and not only on X. Here’s what a Google search for “JPMorgan Clarity Act” turned up:

Google search jpm clarity

Notice how two outlets got it right. Their headlines are outnumbered and outranked by versions of AltcoinDaily’s viral howler. What’s that old saying about good deeds?

The news business may have been a shouting match since the days when paperboys yelled “EXTRA! EXTRA!” on street corners. But social media has amplified the profession's vices by incentivizing histrionics and haste.

We don’t have any great solutions to offer. X, for better or for worse, is crypto’s town square. It’s where most of the conversation happens. All we can advise readers to do is to navigate the app as one would a crowded city street, warily.

Whenever you log in, switch from “For You” to the “Following” tab, so you have more control over which accounts show up in your feed. Sort tweets by “most recent,” not “popular.” Take a deep breath before reading any tweet that begins with “BREAKING” or “JUST IN.” (Better yet: Try muting those phrases for a time.) And if there’s no link to back up a sensational headline, find and review the source material yourself before sharing the tweet anywhere. That is a start. – Marc Hochstein

Other News

🪙 Stripe, Visa, BlackRock, 140+ other firms to launch OUSD stablecoin

💰 President Trump discloses $118m+ in 2025 crypto holdings

🤖 Erik Voorhees’ Venice.ai raises $65m Series A at $1b valuation

⛰️ Palmer Luckey’s Erebor Bank said to seek $8b+ valuation

☀️ Solana launches onchain governance, sets entry fee at 100k SOL staked

🚫 Treasury sanctions 134 TRON and XMR addresses tied to ISIS-K

✅ Securitize debuts on NYSE via SPAC merger

🏙️ New York Life tokenizes high-yield bond fund via Centrifuge

👂 SEC solicits public comment on rules for novel ETFs

🔷 Ethereum DAT Sharplink buys ETH for first time since October

Chart of the Week: ETF Outflow Szn Continues

June 2026 ended as the worst month for spot bitcoin ETFs, with aggregate net outflows of -$4.5bn. Since January 2024, spot-based Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. have seen +$51.2bn in cumulative inflows across 19 net-inflow and 11 net-outflow months.

btc etf monthly net vs price

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